
Contents
A quick overview
- Technological uncertainty refers to unknowns in achieving a technical goal, where standard solutions or knowledge are insufficient.
- It is a critical factor for SR&ED eligibility, separating routine work from innovation that requires experimental development.
- Identifying technological uncertainty involves assessing whether your project pushes beyond existing knowledge and requires experimentation.
- Common misconceptions include confusing business risks or routine problem-solving with technological uncertainty.
- Even failed projects that contribute to a deeper understanding of technology may qualify for SR&ED.
- The key is demonstrating how your project advances technology through experimentation, rather than relying on established methods.
Introduction
When it comes to SR&ED (Scientific Research and Experimental Development) claims, the concept of technological uncertainty plays a crucial role. Technological uncertainty refers to the unknowns that arise during the development or improvement of a product, process, or technology where a clear solution is not available through existing knowledge or standard practices. Identifying and demonstrating this uncertainty is a fundamental requirement for SR&ED eligibility.
Accurately recognizing technological uncertainty is essential for a SR&ED claim because it distinguishes routine work from innovative efforts. Failing to demonstrate genuine technological uncertainty is one of the most common reasons claims are rejected or delayed. Many businesses mistakenly assume that facing challenges during development automatically qualifies them for SR&ED, when in reality, only uncertainties that require experimental development and push the boundaries of current knowledge meet the eligibility criteria.
SR&ED TIP #1:
Failing to demonstrate genuine technological uncertainty is one of the most common reasons claims are rejected or delayed.
Let’s explore how to properly identify technological uncertainty and address common misconceptions that could put your SR&ED claim at risk.
What is Technological Uncertainty in SR&ED?
Technological uncertainty is a key concept in the SR&ED program, and understanding it is crucial for determining whether your work qualifies for this tax credit. The Canada Revenue Agency (CRA), which administers the SR&ED program, provides clear definitions of important terms in their official SR&ED Glossary, available on canada.ca. According to the CRA:
“Technological uncertainty means whether a given result or objective can be achieved, or how to achieve it, is unknown or uncertain due to an insufficiency of technological knowledge.”
The emphasis is that technological uncertainty exists when there is no clear or predictable path to achieving a desired technical result. In simpler terms, it refers to situations where the limits of current knowledge or technology prevent you from knowing whether something is possible or how to make it possible.
Technological Uncertainty Leads to Experimental Development
When your project encounters technological uncertainty, the next step is to engage in experimental development. This means systematically investigating possible solutions through experimentation, testing, and analysis. The goal is to eliminate uncertainty by developing new or improved processes, products, or technologies.
Understanding Technological Uncertainty - Example Case #1:

Discovering Technological Uncertainty in a Software Development Project
The Problem: Real-Time Streaming in VR
Your software engineering team is working on a groundbreaking application that delivers real-time video streaming for virtual reality (VR). You have an ambitious goal of reducing latency to under 20 milliseconds, while maintaining high-resolution quality for multiple users in a shared VR environment. Unfortunately, current technologies fall short – standard streaming protocols introduce too much delay for a smooth VR experience.
The Roadblock: Pushing Beyond Current Technology
As you dig into the problem, it becomes clear that existing software libraries and compression methods aren’t designed for VR’s demands. You need a custom algorithm that can handle real-time streaming, adjust for network conditions, and support multi-user interactions. After researching and consulting with experts, you realize no one has developed a solution that meets these criteria.
Facing Technological Uncertainty
This is where technological uncertainty comes in. You’re not dealing with a routine issue—there’s no clear answer. How do you synchronize multiple users in a VR space with minimal latency? Can you design a system to adapt in real-time to changing conditions? These are questions that require experimentation and innovation, not off-the-shelf solutions.
For your company, this represents true technological uncertainty. You’re attempting to achieve something beyond what current technology offers, and there’s no guarantee of success. This is what sets apart routine development from the innovative work that qualifies for SR&ED.
The Key Aspects of Technological Uncertainty
Technological Risk vs. Routine Engineering
It is important to distinguish technological uncertainty from routine engineering or optimization. Routine tasks involve using established knowledge and standard practices, whereas technological uncertainty arises when known methods and techniques are insufficient to achieve the desired outcome. In such cases, you must explore untested approaches, which is what qualifies your work as SR&ED-eligible experimental development.
To meet SR&ED criteria, your project must involve resolving uncertainties that go beyond everyday problem-solving—efforts that require scientific or technological advancements to overcome challenges not yet addressed in your field.
SR&ED TIP #2:
Businesses often mistake routine problem-solving for technological uncertainty, leading to claim denials.
The End-Goal is Technological Advancement
Technological advancement, in the context of SR&ED, refers to the discovery or improvement of principles, techniques, or processes that push the boundaries of what is currently known. It involves gaining a deeper understanding of how certain technologies work, even if the insights seem small or incremental. And this advancement doesn’t always mean success in achieving the original goal – even a failed experiment that sheds light on why something doesn’t work can represent technological progress.
Whether the project yields a groundbreaking innovation or uncovers limitations in existing methods, any genuine increase in knowledge contributes to the broader technological knowledge base. This is why the CRA recognizes that even unsuccessful projects can qualify for SR&ED, as the process of experimentation and learning itself drives advancement.
Common Misunderstandings About Technological Uncertainty

Misconception 1: Technological Uncertainty is the Same as Business or Financial Risk
It’s not uncommon for some businesses to misunderstand that technological uncertainty involves general business or financial risks, such as uncertainty about whether a project will succeed in the market or whether it will be profitable.
Reality: Technological uncertainty in SR&ED refers specifically to challenges in science or technology where it is unclear whether a technical goal can be achieved, or how to achieve it using existing knowledge. Business risks are not considered technological uncertainty under SR&ED guidelines.
Misconception 2: New Development or Troubleshooting Equals Technological Uncertainty
Some may believe that challenges faced during routine development or when troubleshooting technical issues automatically qualify as technological uncertainty.
Reality: Routine engineering tasks, bug fixes, or optimizing systems using established solutions do not constitute technological uncertainty. For SR&ED eligibility, the uncertainty must involve experimental development to resolve unknowns that cannot be addressed through standard practices or known methodologies.
Misconception 3: Technological Uncertainty Only Applies to New Inventions
There’s also often the misunderstanding that technological uncertainty only applies to the development of entirely new products or inventions.
Reality: Technological uncertainty can also apply to efforts to improve existing products, processes, or technologies, as long as there are challenges where existing knowledge does not provide a clear solution. The key factor is whether the work involves solving unknowns in science or technology, regardless of whether the work is on a new or existing technology.
Understanding Technological Uncertainty - Example Case #2:
Establishing Technological Uncertainty versus Routine Challenges

The Situation: Improving a Recommendation Algorithm for an E-Commerce Platform
Your team is tasked with enhancing the recommendation engine of an e-commerce platform. The current algorithm provides personalized product recommendations to users, but the company wants to improve its accuracy and responsiveness to user behaviour in real time. The goal is to implement machine learning techniques to update product suggestions dynamically based on users’ real-time interactions on the website.
The Solution: Using Pre-Built Machine Learning Models and Libraries
Your team decides to leverage existing machine learning libraries to improve the recommendation algorithm by integrating a well-documented collaborative filtering model into the platform, tuning its hyperparameters, and training it with the company’s existing customer data.
The team applies standard data preprocessing techniques and uses established training algorithms. While you need to adjust the model for performance optimization and specific business rules, these are routine tasks that have well-defined solutions.
The Appearance of Complexity
At first glance, this project might seem innovative, as it involves implementing machine learning, training models, and working with large datasets. However, the underlying technologies and techniques being used are all well-established in the field of software development and data science.
No Technological Uncertainty
Despite the technical work involved, there is no technological uncertainty here. It follows established processes for training models and optimizing performance, making it routine work rather than an attempt to achieve technological advancement.
6 Key Factors to Determine if Your Work Involves Technological Uncertainty
Differentiating between routine problem-solving and true technological uncertainty is essential for SR&ED eligibility. The criteria and questions outlined below will help you identify when your projects tackle the kind of technological challenges that meet SR&ED criteria.
1. Ask: Is There an Unknown?
Determine whether the desired outcome or result is unknown and whether it can be achieved using existing knowledge, methods, or tools.
2. Assess the Limits of Current Knowledge
Technological uncertainty exists when your project encounters limitations in current technology or standard practices, and known solutions don't suffice.
3. Look for Experimental Development
If you need to conduct experimentation or testing to find a solution because existing approaches are not guaranteed to work, that signals technological uncertainty.
4. Differentiate From Routine Work
Ensure the challenge goes beyond routine engineering or optimization. Routine fixes or straightforward improvements using well-established methods don’t qualify.
5. Review the Need for Hypothesis Testing
If you're formulating and testing hypotheses to overcome a technological challenge, you're likely dealing with technological uncertainty.
6. Involve Unpredictable Outcomes
If the result of your efforts is not predictable or you can’t foresee how to achieve the desired goal, you are in the realm of technological uncertainty.
Conclusion
Understanding technological uncertainty is not just about identifying challenges in your project – it’s about recognizing where your work pushes the boundaries of what’s known and documented in your field. The SR&ED program is designed to reward innovation and experimentation, even when the path to success isn’t clear. Whether your efforts lead to groundbreaking advancements or uncover important limitations, what matters is that your work involves genuine technological exploration.
In a world where innovation rarely follows a straight line, it’s essential to remember that progress often comes through persistence, even when results seem elusive. As Thomas Edison famously said, “I have not failed. I’ve just found 10,000 ways that won’t work.”
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If you’re still unsure whether your project involves technological uncertainty or have further questions about SR&ED eligibility, feel free to reach out to us at Checkpoint Research. Our consultants are here to expertly guide businesses through the complexities of the SR&ED process.
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